Will the announcers say "Electric" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-52.0pp
24h Vol
$100.99
Liquidity
$156.65
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Jun 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarythe events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includinTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Jun 13, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 52pp over 24h
Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $157 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Jun 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarythe events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includinTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Jun 13, 2026 — dispute window active.
Verification Brief
A guided checklist for what must be proven before this market is treated as reliable context.
The event window has passed and the market should not be read as settled until the upstream resolution path is confirmed.
Create trust-state alertVerification goal
Map resolution-relevant sources to the exact criteria needed to avoid misreading price as settlement.
What needs proof
Primary source
requiredConfirm the primary ambiguous wording source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.
Current evidence: the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin
Contract wording
requiredExtract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.
Settlement state
requiredCheck whether the market is still live, expired-unresolved, UMA pending, disputed, or officially resolved.
Current evidence: Expired, unresolved
Orrery verification task Will the announcers say "Electric" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? State: Expired, unresolved — resolution sensitive Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary ambiguous wording source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Settlement state: Check whether the market is still live, expired-unresolved, UMA pending, disputed, or officially resolved. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.
Orrery verification brief Will the announcers say "Electric" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? State: resolution sensitive Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.
Market link goes in reply
A controlled loop for durable sources. Every source must answer one criterion from this Verification Brief.
Sources
0
Criteria covered
0
Reviewed
0
Awaiting review
0
Submit a source mapped to a criterion
Recent source checks
Pilot audit summary
Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 06:16SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03:59Scheduled resolutionHIGH
Expiry passed 2h ago; not yet resolved upstream
Price movement
-52.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -54.5pp at 06:16 (to 1¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 06:16 · -54.5pp → 1¢
- 05:00 · -49.0pp → 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 9 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. Prerecorded clips, AI-generated audio or video, and commercials will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person's first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about "Joe / Biden 5+ times," a mention of "Joe Biden" will count once). Muted, censored, or otherwise inaudible instances of a term will not qualify towards resolution. If the USA vs Paraguay match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
fifa world cupReason
FIFA World Cup markets are Sports; country-name geopolitics rules should not win this phrasing.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will the announcers say "Electric" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?"?
As of Sat, 13 Jun 2026 06:16:45 GMT, YES is priced at 1% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -52.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Jun 13, 2026 (2026-06-13T03:59:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$100.99 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $100.99. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $156.65. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.8¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
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