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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 1, 2026

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,215,000 and $1,250,000 on April 30?

Probability

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 10.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 131.6h

    LOW
  • 12:26Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.6pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.1pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (10.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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