Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,215,000 and $1,250,000 on April 30?
Probability
7¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 10.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 131.6h
- 12:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
12- 8¢-2.1pp
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,180,000 and $1,215,000 on April 30?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,250,000 and $1,285,000 on April 30?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,320,000 and $1,355,000 on April 30?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 84¢+1.5pp
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,285,000 and $1,320,000 on April 30?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,355,000 on April 30?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-2.8pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $716.2K
- 44¢+3.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $650.4K
- 13¢-27.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $616.3K
- 85¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $566.2K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $541.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).