Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 26?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.5pp
24h Vol
$13.48
Liquidity
$127.47
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 20¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 29.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 25.3h
- 14:39SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:39PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 20¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 20¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 21¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 23¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 20¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 18¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 18¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 18¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 20¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 17¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 17¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 16¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (29.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).