Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
Probability
82¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+9.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4601.3h
- 06:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4601h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 80¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 83¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 78¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 81¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 82¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 83¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 84¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 82¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 84¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 82¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 84¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 84¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 82¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 82¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 82¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 61¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).