Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?
Probability
85¢
1h
+0.7pp
24h
+6.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$293.66
Probability (last 7 days)
-9.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 85¢; +0.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1591h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.2¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1590.8h
- 17:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1591h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 85¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 84¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 84¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.7pp
to 82¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.6pp
to 80¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.8pp
to 76¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 76¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.3pp
to 75¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 80¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.7pp
to 79¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 79¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.2pp
to 79¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.6pp
to 79¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.8pp
to 78¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.9pp
to 78¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.4pp
to 77¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the date on which the WNBA and WNBA players association sign a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA). The listed market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of signing is between market creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, a CBA is considered ‘executed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the WNBA and the WNBA Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.