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SportsExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?

Probability

85¢

1h

+0.7pp

24h

+6.9pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$293.66

Probability (last 7 days)

-9.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 7pp over 24h

    Now 85¢; +0.7pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1591h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 26.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1590.8h

    LOW
  • 17:04Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1591h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -8.9pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -11.7pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -13.6pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -17.8pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -17.9pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -19.3pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -14.2pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -14.7pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -15.2pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -15.6pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -15.8pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -15.9pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -17.4pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the date on which the WNBA and WNBA players association sign a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA). The listed market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of signing is between market creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, a CBA is considered ‘executed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the WNBA and the WNBA Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (26.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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