Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$153.28
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1565h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 51.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1564.6h
- 19:26SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1565h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.5pp at 2d ago (to 52¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TMZ-affiliated reporter is granted a White House press badge by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements indicating conditional intent to grant any TMZ-affiliated reporter a White House press badge will not qualify, however statements indicating unconditional intent to grant any TMZ-affiliated reporter or reporters White House press badges will qualify this market towards an immediate "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on statements from official representatives from TMZ or the White House.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- White HouseOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (51.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.