Will Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?

• 01
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 02
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 23.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to participate in an event to honor military mothers on May 6, 2026, 12:30PM ET (https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2051402801520013678). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during the Honoring Military Mothers event scheduled for May 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Melania or Donald Trump are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the Honoring America's military mothers event scheduled for May 6, 2026, 12:30PM ET (https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2051402801520013678). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.