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CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?

Probability

28¢

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-13.0pp

24h Vol

$31.95

Liquidity

$99.36

Probability (last 7 days)

-13.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 20.8h

    HIGH
  • 03:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 21h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (30.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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