Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Powell" during WHCA Dinner events?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-15.5pp
24h Vol
$190.45
Liquidity
$881.88
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 10:13SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 27¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 27¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 27¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 26¢
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 10h ago
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 33¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 30¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 32¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 27¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 29¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 31¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the WHCA Dinner events scheduled for April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- White HouseOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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