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MacroExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Powell" during WHCA Dinner events?

Probability

27¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-15.5pp

24h Vol

$190.45

Liquidity

$881.88

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 10:13Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolved 10h ago

    HIGH
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the WHCA Dinner events scheduled for April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
White HouseOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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