Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.2pp
24h Vol
$168.54
Liquidity
$26.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1380.5h
Price movement
-2.2pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 14:00 (to 3¢).
Show top 8 of 16 hourly moves
- 01:00 · -3.1pp → 5¢
- 00:00 · -3.5pp → 5¢
- 21:00 · -3.3pp → 5¢
- 19:00 · -3.3pp → 5¢
- 17:00 · -3.3pp → 5¢
- 16:00 · -3.6pp → 5¢
- 14:00 · -5.0pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · +3.1pp → 8¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Alerts
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