Broken-Cashew
0xd512f1092543dba882aa2c594127118a720079b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-12.7K
Realised
$-907.42
Win rate
48%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2715 shares @ 85.7¢·now 83.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$-67.29
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
612 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$567.91
$-13.28
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
1505 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$481.46
$-45.01
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
3974 shares @ 33.1¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$476.88
$-837.21
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
2491 shares @ 12.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.90
$-17.97
- YES
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
58973 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$206.40
$-37.39
- YES
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
70390 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.97
$30.06
- YES
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
19961 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.75
$83.78
- YES
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
20966 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.83
$4.17
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
6486 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.78
$-267.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.48Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.94Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$38.64Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$66.27Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$407.73Jun 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$96.20Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$401.00Jun 13, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.44Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.80Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.14Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.19Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.65Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.56Jun 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.72Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.22Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.84Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$43.20Jun 13, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.26Jun 13, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.