Will Winthrop University win NACL 2026 Spring?
Probability
40¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$33.86
Probability (last 7 days)
+39.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 40¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 967h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 77.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 966.8h
- 17:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 967h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.6pp
to 40¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.8pp
to 40¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.8pp
to 40¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.1pp
to 40¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.2pp
to 40¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.1pp
to 41¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.5pp
to 43¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.2pp
to 44¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.3pp
to 45¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.4pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.4pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.6pp
to 44¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.4pp
to 26¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.7pp
to 26¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 26¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.6pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.1pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.2pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.3pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.9pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.6pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.3pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.1pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.6pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.9pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the North American Challengers League (NACL) 2026 Spring season. If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 12, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumlolesports.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (77.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.