Will Zendaya wear Gucci at the Met Gala?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$12.26
Liquidity
$147.34
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $147 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 199.9h
- 16:03SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 43¢0.0pp
Will Zendaya wear Balmain & Olivier Rousteing at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢+0.5pp
Will Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢+1.0pp
Will Zendaya wear Alexander McQueen at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
Will Zendaya wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢+1.0pp
Will Zendaya wear Schiaparelli at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
Will Zendaya wear Versace at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 5¢-0.4pp
Will Zendaya wear Tiffany & Co. at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢+1.0pp
Will Zendaya wear Dolce & Gabbana at the Met Gala?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 99¢+40.9pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 98¢+39.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 2¢-1.2pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Zendaya does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve only after the Met Gala has concluded. No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If the Met Gala does not take place by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be photos or videos of the event, or statements from Zendaya or her legal or social media representatives.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).