XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Probability
90¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+40.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryChainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot marketsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 40pp over 24h
Now 90¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.1h
- 01:54SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
Price movement
+40.0pp over the last 24h, now 90¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 0¢-75.4pp
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Other · Vol $757.1K
- 24¢-64.5pp
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
Other · Vol $279.3K
- 32¢+1.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $273.8K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Other · Vol $271.4K
- 99¢+0.1pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $257.7K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Other · Vol $257.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryChainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot marketsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.