Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-7.2pp
24h Vol
$3.5K
Liquidity
$620.86
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPolymarket Post Counter (tracker)TypeTracker / counterConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 8, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 1¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 50h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $621 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 50 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPolymarket Post Counter (tracker)TypeTracker / counterConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 8, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 50.1h
- 13:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 50h.
Price movement
-7.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -26.6pp at 2d ago (to 0¢).
Show top 8 of 11 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +11.5pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · +7.2pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -12.2pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -26.6pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -16.9pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -26.6pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -5.4pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -12.2pp → 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
