Cute-Test-Compliance
0x0134ad991c695d31a92d47fe83504de3bbee9054
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.58
Realised
$-7.43
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
516 shares @ 82.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$446.60
$18.90
- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
204 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$193.67
$0.71
- NO
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
105 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$90.70
$12.66
- NO
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
104 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.24
$9.37
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
102 shares @ 61.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$66.83
$4.59
- YES
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
55 shares @ 78.4¢·now 77.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$42.47
$-0.58
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
105 shares @ 37.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.09
$1.05
- NO
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
275 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$23.40
$-6.88
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
205 shares @ 9.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.74
$-7.88
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.3¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.71
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.00Jul 12, 06:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.98Jul 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?$1.76Jul 5, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.84Jun 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.23Jun 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$2.24Jun 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.12Jun 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.27Jun 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$79.18Jun 19, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$17.08Jun 19, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$94.50Jun 19, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$39.77Jun 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$73.53Jun 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$63.21Jun 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$4.71Jun 19, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.50Jun 19, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $39.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.