Chubby-Curd
0x0241cff5a144ff6633bad6cbad7cff90f37b162a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-18.88
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
728 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$728.00
$147.06
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
415 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$415.00
$199.20
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
913 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$305.86
$-31.95
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
51 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$51.00
$19.89
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
31 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.69
$-0.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
23 shares @ 41.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$-4.25
- YES
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
2 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (January 18)
1149 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-275.76
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
976 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-157.14
- NO
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
833 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-616.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump name "Paxton" in April?$152.82Apr 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$148.20Apr 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Paxton" in April?$458.46Apr 23, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$226.09Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$325.69Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$71.71Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$84.66Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$24.60Apr 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$44.32Apr 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$111.68Apr 12, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$678.96Apr 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$31.11Apr 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$35.55Apr 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$110.70Apr 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$10.85Apr 11, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$433.71Apr 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$563.04Apr 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$337.81Apr 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$497.28Apr 11, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$182.86Apr 11, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $201.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 01:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.