Overjoyed-Jute
0x02431b25b046ff569f22248a026a4ff05c7fb81e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$94.20
Total PnL
$-17.56
Realised
$1.67
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
256 shares @ 8.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$33.20
$12.45
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$0.60
- YES
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$8.97
$1.97
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 71.6¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.41
$0.24
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.05
$-0.25
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.95
$-0.85
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
50 shares @ 16.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$-3.55
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.48
$-0.52
- YES
China coup attempt before 2027?
130 shares @ 9.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$-8.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20May 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.77May 20, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$9.12May 20, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.32May 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.96May 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.39May 19, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.05May 19, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.24May 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.35May 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.74May 19, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.20May 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.95May 19, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$3.85May 19, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.00May 19, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$5.26May 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$5.81May 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$5.81May 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?$9.86May 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$10.00May 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$20.00May 5, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.