0x0696ca313967ba141d3bf599254e4a981d6f1a81
0x0696ca313967ba141d3bf599254e4a981d6f1a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$57.17
Total PnL
$-55.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.87
$8.87
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.64
$-0.36
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.25
$5.25
- NO
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.77
$1.77
- NO
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.67
$-6.33
- NO
Will China join the Board of Peace?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.3¢·now 17.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?$1.88Jun 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$11.67Jun 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.08Jun 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$1.30Feb 4, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$1.00Feb 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Feb 4, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$1.00Feb 4, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$1.00Feb 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Bowl LX have between 120M and 124M viewers?$1.00Jan 28, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?$1.00Jan 28, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$1.00Jan 28, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?$1.00Jan 28, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$1.00Jan 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" 6+ times during remarks on January 28?$1.00Jan 28, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.