Terrific-Subprime
0x06af7d54ea6f1e3df688422534ef59654fa93741
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$788.05
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$778.40
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
264 shares @ 20.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$229.68
$176.86
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
150 shares @ 72.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$107.25
$-1.53
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 17.7¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.25
$73.51
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
154 shares @ 36.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.83
$30.96
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.99
$11.00
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
81 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.96
$10.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.25
$35.25
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.48
$16.48
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$17.57
$10.38
- NO
Will GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.16
$1.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$0.62Jul 25, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$539.99Jul 25, 06:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?$4.00Jul 23, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?$12.06Jul 23, 03:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.40Jul 14, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $57.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.