Appropriate-Regret
0x06c304acd6f9299e2081119c369675be255faa4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$93.70
Total PnL
$-7.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 27.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 52.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.42
$1.42
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 44.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.86
$-5.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00May 14, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$0.00May 14, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 55 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$0.00May 14, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$0.00May 14, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.08May 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.18May 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.21May 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.22May 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$1.04May 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 55 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$1.04May 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$1.04May 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?$2.02May 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.20May 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.12May 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$1.03May 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.04May 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$1.04May 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$5.22May 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.30May 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.27May 13, 21:25 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".