Grumpy-Urn
0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f
Quality score
96/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$211.2K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$15.6K
Win rate
67%
130 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
17526 shares @ 89.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.2K
$591.62
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
14939 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.5K
$303.31
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
11900 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.7K
$1.3K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16369 shares @ 71.6¢·now 65.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.6K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10066 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.7K
$163.38
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
9842 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.4K
$281.58
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12380 shares @ 60.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$951.93
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9661 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.7K
$337.36
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
7811 shares @ 79.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.7K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
7324 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.3K
$116.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$9.1214m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$210.0035m ago
- YIELD$0.6447m ago
- REWARD$15.2459m ago
- REWARD$1.4059m ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$174.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$84.971h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$17.252h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.712h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$143.462h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$322.642h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$287.362h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.603h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.263h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.043h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.883h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$573.893h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$229.893h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$80.753h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $177.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 14m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.