Palatable-Argument
0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$76.1K
Total PnL
$-673.22
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
13579 shares @ 86.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.3K
$1.5K
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
12452 shares @ 81.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.2K
$2.0K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
7401 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$290.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6833 shares @ 81.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.8K
$1.2K
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
12753 shares @ 52.3¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.5K
$-162.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
7520 shares @ 90.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.9K
$-936.01
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6275 shares @ 54.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.5K
$42.70
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
3134 shares @ 75.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$734.39
- NO
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
2984 shares @ 72.6¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$649.27
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
6799 shares @ 35.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$-97.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.82Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$2.9KJun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$6.0KJun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$3.4KJun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$3.5KJun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$1.2KJun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$1.2KJun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.6KJun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$3.2KJun 12, 22:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.44Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.84Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.7KJun 11, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$2.0KJun 11, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$108.81Jun 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$52.33Jun 11, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$0.46Jun 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$20.22Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$47.35Jun 11, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$158.34Jun 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$60.92Jun 11, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.