Shocking-Demur
0x09514566d8034e301adb778f2bcf6875afd371ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$190.06
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
51 shares @ 47.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.96
$26.76
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
81 shares @ 18.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.69
$27.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
35 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.32
$2.82
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
97 shares @ 11.1¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.26
$12.54
- NO
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.65
$2.25
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
23 shares @ 27.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.15
$0.82
- YES
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
350 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.82
$-10.74
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
65 shares @ 5.6¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$1.33
- YES
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
71 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$-4.43
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
188 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.43Jun 1, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$106.93Jun 1, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.07May 30, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.50May 30, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.50May 30, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00May 30, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?$5.12May 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.05May 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.60May 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.60May 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.20May 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.39May 8, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.64May 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.29May 7, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.73May 6, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.73May 6, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.73May 6, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$2.86May 4, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.28May 3, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.41May 1, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.