Sarcastic-Ellipse
0x0a5d8df96dca62801343ee077a8229d3fddce43d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$17.15
Total PnL
$-1.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
3 shares @ 37.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.66
$1.66
- YES
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Feb 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.00Feb 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.00Feb 13, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.54Feb 13, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.77Feb 13, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$2.00Feb 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Dec 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Dec 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Dec 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Dec 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Dec 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Dec 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Dec 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 30, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.09Nov 11, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in August?$1.72Nov 11, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.