Cute-Chopstick
0x0b48df748a4df368bf92a58b7904753ac2c36b04
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$89.62
Total PnL
$-49.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Blue wave in 2026?
107 shares @ 19.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$27.33
$6.42
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
209 shares @ 21.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.02
$-20.98
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
386 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.94
$2.94
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
60 shares @ 29.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.11
$-9.65
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.66
$0.72
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
32 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.45
$-2.55
- YES
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.95
$-16.05
- YES
Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
28 shares @ 28.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.15
$-5.85
- YES
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
52 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.