0x0c05460340e5f264d9471adafd1aef9f1cfc8cc1
0x0c05460340e5f264d9471adafd1aef9f1cfc8cc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.43
Total PnL
$-2.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
7 shares @ 52.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$6.87
$3.28
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$6.38
$3.19
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.98
$0.98
- NO
Will Trump post "POTUS" on Truth Social this week?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$4.99
$1.40
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.97
$-3.03
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
21 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- NO
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.25May 3, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.66May 3, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.92May 3, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?$0.00May 3, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?$3.44May 2, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.00May 2, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TrumpRX" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.00May 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?$5.00May 2, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?$0.00May 2, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$4.99May 1, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?$5.29May 1, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?$0.00May 1, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$0.00May 1, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$0.00May 1, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?$0.00May 1, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Nicki / Minaj" in April?$5.11May 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "POTUS" on Truth Social this week?$3.63May 1, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$4.32May 1, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$3.94May 1, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TrumpRX" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$4.44May 1, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.