Minor-Guard
0x0cb45497e28f7fe135664551c83cc5860e40fe88
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$203.03
Total PnL
$-161.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
96 shares @ 78.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.44
$6.44
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$34.30
$-15.70
- YES
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 83.4¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$30.69
$-9.31
- YES
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.25
$10.25
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.76
$5.76
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
43 shares @ 46.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.58
$-19.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 20% on December 10?
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 29?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?$40.33May 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$75.00Apr 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.00Apr 22, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$20.00Mar 8, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$20.00Feb 26, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$13.16Feb 9, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?$13.33Feb 9, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$14.71Feb 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$10.00Feb 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$28.82Jan 30, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$20.00Jan 30, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$50.00Jan 29, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$100.00Jan 29, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$50.00Jan 29, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 29?$20.00Jan 29, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$217.11Jan 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$20.00Jan 28, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$20.00Jan 8, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $35.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".