Dutiful-Airbus
0x0cd01465a3a6579f1e5052a9c0bdfde557ff0e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$447.00
Total PnL
$-148.59
Realised
$27.97
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$50.00
$-6.00
- YES
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.99
$10.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 75.1¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$39.62
$2.07
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 16.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.00
$-26.50
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.25
$20.75
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
250 shares @ 31.6¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.38
$-44.63
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.50
$1.50
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
230 shares @ 5.8¢·now 10.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.18
$11.78
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
75 shares @ 21.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.57
$7.82
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
200 shares @ 11.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$21.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$24.00Jul 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$32.00Jul 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$37.54Jul 27, 14:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$4.90Jul 26, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$7.10Jul 26, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$4.80Jul 26, 14:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$20.00Jul 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$3.60Jul 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$8.16Jul 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.80Jul 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.00Jul 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.20Jul 23, 10:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$0.53Jul 22, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $12.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.