Constant-Episode
0x0d830616473e42dbd219cb9090d28781f6138eb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-136.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
367 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$350.37
$9.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
314 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$310.09
$14.92
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
365 shares @ 83.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$289.86
$-15.53
- NO
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
352 shares @ 85.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$285.41
$-14.59
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
159 shares @ 72.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$117.79
$1.86
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 41.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$83.93
$-58.20
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
102 shares @ 75.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$43.25
$-33.93
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
63 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.66
$-0.31
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
52 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$38.42
$-6.96
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
38 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$36.34
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$39.36May 18, 04:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$304.34May 17, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$84.55May 17, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$64.89May 17, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$177.63May 17, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$67.57May 17, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$65.29May 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$84.54May 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$62.77May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.91May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$4.25May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.76May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$11.04May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$154.64May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$15.95May 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$5.89May 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$1.51May 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$2.83May 16, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $37.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".