Rare-Congressperson
0x0e2334c7e100f4dd4241064cbe68c47f8bd40793
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$15.15
Total PnL
$-3.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
2 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.40
$1.40
- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?$1.00Jan 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 29, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.00Jan 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$1.00Jan 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 29, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on December 25?$1.00Dec 25, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$1.00Dec 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$1.00Dec 25, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 25, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 6, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in August?$2.04Nov 6, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$1.00Oct 16, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Labor" 25+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$1.00Aug 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Aug 13, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.