Frayed-Perfection
0x0ed688f06f27727c05b99e24e64b84775e97b931
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$32.05
Total PnL
$-305.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET
170 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET
150 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NUGGETS
Kings vs. Nuggets
15 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.00Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.00Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.00Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.01Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.15Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.05Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.00Jun 8, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 8, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.00Jun 8, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.02Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.10Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.12Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.31Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.33Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.02Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$30.09Jun 8, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$30.00May 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00May 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.01May 25, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $389.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.