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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

42¢

1h

-2.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$9.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+11.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 42¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 51.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6012.1h

    LOW
  • 16:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Chainlink (LINK/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (51.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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