Fancy-Rim
0x0faa2e4f0f190fe184d58b6c7b1631b0e3c013ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.45
Total PnL
$-48.46
Realised
$0.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CA-37 House seat?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.78
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
240 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
176 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 12?
75 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5$1.00Jul 2, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$0.99Jul 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$1.03Jul 2, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total$1.03Jul 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$0.85Jul 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jul 2, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$5.00Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00Jun 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on June 16?$1.00Jun 16, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 16?$1.07Jun 16, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$4.04Jun 15, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs$5.26Jun 15, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs$4.03Jun 15, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$4.05Jun 15, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$4.02Jun 12, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$4.29Jun 12, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 11, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$1.03Jun 10, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14?$1.07Jun 10, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.