Spry-Spectrograph
0x0ff3aadb48e376da9ed8aefe16212ee64cf1b0fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$8.0K
Total PnL
$-135.2K
Realised
$4.9K
Win rate
64%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.4K
$-475.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$840.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
11157 shares @ 47.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-4.2K
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
13000 shares @ 7.8¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$572.00
$-447.99
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 41.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$525.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
7621 shares @ 37.4¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$365.82
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$237.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
3499 shares @ 32.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$227.43
$-896.77
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.00
$-735.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$165.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.59Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.33Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.0KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.30Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.97Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.90Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.90Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.88Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $14.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.