Mortified-Railway
0x11cbf2eb95887f03ebb43a566384eb13a71f04aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.55
Total PnL
$-57.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
33 shares @ 61.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.59
$-8.41
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 24.7¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.62
$-13.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
76 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.38
$-12.55
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
68 shares @ 22.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$16.81May 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$20.54May 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$20.32May 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.04May 10, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.30May 10, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.00May 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.03May 10, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 10, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Feb 5, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.00Feb 5, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.25Feb 5, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.48Feb 5, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".