Low-Colloquy
0x128ee60a2e78e7b26fce1f346da38ce48965001d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$119.12
Total PnL
$-121.58
Realised
$-143.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
67 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.00
$31.49
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
27 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.00
$2.97
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
143 shares @ 24.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.88
$-11.44
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$-0.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?$55.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?$0.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks$769.00Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$268.24Jun 15, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$6.00Apr 21, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$94.52Apr 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$163.88Apr 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$234.60Apr 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$162.11Apr 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$98.67Apr 12, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $239.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.