Vague-Obsidian
0x141b013ee56fd39e5bc379ae33766bade7775ae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$34.16
Total PnL
$-65.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
14 shares @ 42.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.29
$1.29
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.19
$3.19
- YES
Will Ty Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Tuf Cooper win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
199 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 81.3¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "UFO" or "Alien" this week?$1.04May 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joel Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$2.05May 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Harris win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$5.00May 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tuf Cooper win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$5.00May 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lane Webb win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$1.00May 10, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $1.00May 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?$1.01May 10, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$6.14May 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$1.05May 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.04May 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03May 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01May 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.03May 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 10, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 10, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.86Apr 9, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$1.00Mar 15, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".