Late-Design
0x14f680980fd308cc256f29216e61db404e4af9f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$146.82
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-65.15
Win rate
0%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
139 shares @ 31.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$107.72
$64.63
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
340 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.10
$-5.89
- KATIE BOULTER
Paris: Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie Boulter
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- XTREME GAMING
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 24?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- CANADIENS
Sabres vs. Canadiens
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?
2511 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- BOSTON RED SOX
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox
1723 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$13.19Jun 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$13.99Jun 21, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$10.00Jun 19, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.69Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 in May?$9.00Jun 1, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$10.00Jun 1, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 1, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 in May?$10.00May 29, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$12.00May 29, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$8.52May 29, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$4.17May 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$0.14May 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$0.11May 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$7.09May 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$3.91May 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$0.02May 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$8.29May 28, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$31.00May 28, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.