Noxious-Constellation
0x14fbe15cbc885afb14dcd6fb048731d373284023
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$103.16
Total PnL
$-18.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
55 shares @ 91.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.02
$1.02
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
15 shares @ 34.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.96
$8.96
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
14 shares @ 75.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.59
$2.59
- NO
Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$11.04
$0.05
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
16 shares @ 88.9¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$-8.30
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
3 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 shares @ 88.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
82 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- NO
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?
41 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$3.00May 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$11.13May 15, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.01May 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$2.53May 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$8.48May 9, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?$6.14May 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$4.87May 9, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$50.22May 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMSelena Gomez married in 2025?$0.00Mar 31, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Mar 31, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMSelena Gomez married in 2025?$0.00Mar 31, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$0.00Mar 31, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$0.00Mar 31, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$5.00Mar 7, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.11Mar 7, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$9.99Mar 7, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?$4.25Feb 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.00Feb 15, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$8.86Feb 15, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".