Favorable-Motion
0x152fdae6b14b9131a61ec77ed61dda50f68da549
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$33.0K
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$-4.7K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
296341 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.6K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
272131 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.9K
$2.3K
- YES
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
65302 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.4K
$-456.85
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
86694 shares @ 6.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$-3.4K
- NO
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?
3027 shares @ 29.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$575.20
$-326.80
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
21135 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$496.67
$-330.34
- YES
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
17195 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$490.06
$-109.93
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
5302 shares @ 9.4¢·now 9.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$477.21
$-22.79
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
12351 shares @ 6.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$432.29
$-368.69
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13250 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$404.12
$-476.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.52May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$200.00May 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.54May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$34.52May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$72.27May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$181.67May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$205.51May 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$857.14May 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$617.37May 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$720.00May 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$900.00May 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$400.00May 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.1KMay 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$2.00May 15, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$2.47May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$769.00May 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$768.87May 14, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$36.20May 14, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$925.54May 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KMay 14, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $448.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".