Political-Average
0x16395cbde4b4c07a88efd8fe8dca1c672cfa1a62
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.5K
Total PnL
$208.75
Realised
$33.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
2970 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$56.27
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2484 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$70.34
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
1746 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.7K
$-0.87
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
917 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$914.71
$52.73
- NO
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
867 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$858.68
$34.68
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
267 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$254.99
$9.09
- NO
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
231 shares @ 86.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$217.26
$17.26
- NO
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$89.49
$-0.31
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
174 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.16
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
8 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$187.82Jun 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$678.71Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 33 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.3KJun 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$2.2KJun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$289.85Jun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.1KJun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$213.70Jun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$113.94Jun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.6KJun 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$47.78May 30, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$40.00May 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.29May 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.00May 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$45.00May 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$312.58May 30, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$101.38May 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$304.14May 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$113.83May 30, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$206.86May 30, 14:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.83May 20, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $504.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.