Artistic-Leeway
0x169a4a0c00e3808af80dd5038c32107befa055e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-536.25
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
810 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$810.00
$477.90
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
799 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$799.00
$103.87
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
490 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$490.00
$147.49
- MIAMI MARLINS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
938 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$469.00
$9.38
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
435 shares @ 66.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$269.70
$-17.40
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
121 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$121.00
$18.27
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
74 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.98
$-3.70
- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.32
$1.40
- NO
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.70
$-0.10
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
1 shares @ 48.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$342.16Apr 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$127.09Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$35.00Apr 15, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$344.00Apr 15, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?$735.00Apr 15, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$1.1KApr 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$73.08Apr 13, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$111.96Apr 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$374.54Apr 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$47.58Apr 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$163.76Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$255.78Apr 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$595.12Apr 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19)$93.60Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19)$88.74Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$332.10Apr 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$152.51Apr 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$7.14Apr 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$407.25Apr 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$156.31Apr 12, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $204.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.