Frayed-Sidecar
0x17bbad64d71015d1c12fde1e2aee3172b3443621
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$636.56
Total PnL
$-291.34
Realised
$-40.20
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 70.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.00
$28.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$98.26
$78.26
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$86.50
$71.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.50
$-14.50
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.50
$9.50
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
270 shares @ 36.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$33.75
$-64.05
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.40
$3.40
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.50
$-29.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.05
$-0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.80Jun 13, 04:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$91.00Jun 1, 16:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$34.00May 31, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 27?$100.00May 31, 05:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$44.82May 30, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $35.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 01:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.