Squeaky-Success
0x185df97aca92a339b92aba31bb142d504a1f3130
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$33.37
Total PnL
$-4.52
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.26
$0.20
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 89.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.30
$-0.01
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.18
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$6.11May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$6.00May 14, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on April 18?$2.23May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.05May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.05May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.23May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.34May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$3.70May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$6.00May 14, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$6.24May 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?$4.03May 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$6.00Apr 20, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 18?$2.20Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$4.32Apr 17, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$5.77Apr 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.52Apr 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$5.62Apr 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.31Apr 8, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $147.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".