Blushing-Remains
0x1864e7b3bb49fe3637b5be028cac0f79c1cdbe92
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$21.75
Total PnL
$-1.30
Realised
$-1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$7.07
$2.12
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.47
$0.51
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.96
$-0.17
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.16
$-1.74
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$5.00Jul 2, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$3.99Jul 2, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$5.76Jul 2, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.93Jul 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$4.99May 29, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$2.22May 25, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 25, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$4.70May 25, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.45May 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$5.00May 14, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$1.04Apr 29, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01Apr 29, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Apr 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.84Apr 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Apr 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$4.61Apr 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$5.00Apr 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.45Apr 14, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.