0x18cef0d546bf16a5be7099537e35ea3ed064ca88
0x18cef0d546bf16a5be7099537e35ea3ed064ca88
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-64.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 15?
23805 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?
21216 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8PM ET
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5AM ET
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 27?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?$2.02Jun 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?$2.00Jun 11, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Watford FC win on 2026-04-25?$5.02Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-25?$5.01Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-25?$5.00Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?$5.31Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$5.12Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22?$5.20Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$5.84Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$5.11Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$5.25Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?$5.14Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?$5.31Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?$5.15Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 22?$5.08Jun 11, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.06Jun 11, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 22?$5.63Jun 11, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?$5.14Jun 11, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$5.78Jun 11, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-23?$5.20Jun 11, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.