Intentional-Pub
0x192b91bde6397b3fe6175da09cd2c02a2dab17cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.88
Realised
$-3.73
Win rate
6%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 16?
625 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on June 16?
313 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on June 16?
278 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 16?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 16?
227 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on June 16?
208 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 16?
179 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on June 16?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on June 16?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.82Jun 28, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.99Jun 27, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$5.05Jun 27, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$5.73Jun 27, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$6.06Jun 27, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$10.01Jun 27, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11.31Jun 27, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$11.76Jun 21, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$10.04Jun 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$1.03Jun 21, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$1.03Jun 21, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$19.23Jun 20, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$10.34Jun 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.13Jun 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jun 20, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$7.69Jun 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.04Jun 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.12Jun 20, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.00Jun 20, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$6.67Jun 20, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
31 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.