Warm-Inflammation
0x196892a8ea34e3e5f0262a2585befbe1b2632261
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-0.74
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5465 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?
98 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?
97 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?
95 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?
92 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.68
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
92 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
86 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
86 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.62
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?
86 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?
77 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.63
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$0.03Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.04Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$0.07Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.07Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$0.08Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.10Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$0.10Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.17Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.17Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.19Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.21Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.21Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$0.24Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$0.27Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.31Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$0.36Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.48Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.54Jun 5, 05:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.