0x1ba9a406eaab9e98f2054610eccc1a3ce109216a
0x1ba9a406eaab9e98f2054610eccc1a3ce109216a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$126.99
Total PnL
$-876.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1288 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$81.80
$-18.20
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
201 shares @ 24.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.09
$-26.91
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1421 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.89
$-12.93
- YES
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.20
$-4.80
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
15000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
3448 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
3350 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025?
2979 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
1779 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 14?
1088 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?$7.00May 20, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$51.50May 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$25.85May 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$22.64May 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$25.98May 12, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.13May 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$103.78May 9, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$75.00Apr 21, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$100.00Apr 11, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Apr 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$50.00Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$50.00Mar 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$50.00Mar 4, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$100.00Mar 3, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$638.56Mar 1, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$50.00Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$20.00Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on January 22?$3.00Jan 22, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 22?$2.78Jan 22, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $57.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".